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  • Essay / Intervention of the Philippines - 637

    The Philippines is an archipelago in Southeast Asia with more than one hundred million inhabitants. The country is ethnically diverse, but its population is predominantly Catholic due to its occupation by Spanish colonial forces beginning in the 17th century. This article describes four potential crisis scenarios with a high degree of probability, based on social, political and geographic contingencies.2. Overall Scenario: As mentioned in the graphical representation, the planning team identified four possible scenario generation events that would require U.S. intervention in the Philippines. These scenarios include: humanitarian aid, weapons of mass destruction (WMD), internal insurgency/rebellion, and international conflict. A rapid and adequate response is essential as the population grows and more people are exposed to hazards.3. WMD/TIC Scenario: WMD/TIC scenario indicators could involve sick staff, environmental degradation, regulatory issues (compliance, negligence and corruption) and infrastructure disruption. In the event of a WMD/ICT crisis, U.S. response agencies can be diverse and include FEMA, USAID, CDC, EPA, as well as contracted civilians supervised by GSA or an agency. subcontractor. In addition to support from U.S. agencies, the event could require multinational cooperation depending on the scale of the disaster. The United States no longer maintains permanent military bases in the Philippines, making organization and coordination more costly than they would have been before 1992. However, the MARO manual (2010) emphasizes that response operations Mass Atrocities (MARO) must be planned in advance as they are preventive in nature. This is why it is useful to predict potential problems that might arise in the middle of the list of terrorist organizations (CIA, 2014). The southern Philippines is an area of ​​particular concern, due to the Moro National Liberation Front.6. Quad 4 (International Conflict): International conflict is also possible in the Philippines. China and the Philippines have had tense relations over territorial claims in the South China Sea. If such conflicts were to escalate, a regional crisis would move from possible to probable.7. Summary: The Philippines and the United States enjoy a special relationship due to the 1951 Mutual Defense Treaty between the Philippines and the United States. This is why the United States stands ready to assist the Philippines in times of need or crisis. A natural disaster, an insurrection, an international crisis and the presence of weapons of mass destruction or a major toxic crisis could lead to the use of MARO and involve the participation of an international coalition..